New Home Sales Down 8% in January

SEATTLE Sales of new single-family homes fell 8 percent year over year in January, fifth consecutive month of year-over-year declines in new-home sales, according to Redfin, the online real estate brokerage. But the size of the drop was smaller than in December in all regions except the West, where sales fell by more in January than they did a month before.

“The shrinking size of sales declines, paired with falling interest rates, may be helping to improve builder confidence, which has been on the rise since December,” said Daryl Fairweather, chief economist at Redfin. “Still, buyers understand that the market is shifting in their favor and have become more sensitive to high home prices. That added sensitivity could continue to put a damper on the sales of new homes, which tend to be more expensive than comparable existing ones.”

Here’s a look at the annual drop in single-family new-home sales in January 2019, plus the final two months of last year (seasonally adjusted):

Region

YoY Change in New-
Home Sales (Nov.
2018)

YoY Change in New-
Home Sales (Dec.
2018)

YoY Change in New-
Home Sales (Jan.
2019)

Midwest

-0.3%

-13.1%

-8.7%

Northeast

-12.6%

-17%

-6.6%

South

-2.6%

-11.8%

-4.7%

West

-8.1%

-13.2%

-16.5%

National

-4.2%

-12.6%

-8%

The trend in new residential sales the past few months has been similar to that of home sales overall, which fell 7.6 percent year over year in January, the sixth consecutive month of declines.

On a month-over-month basis, sales of new single-family homes nationwide dropped 0.2 percent in January.

New-Home Sales Data from Redfin (January 2019)

Region

Median Sale
Price – New
Homes – January

YoY Change –
Median Sale
Price – New
Homes

YoY Change –
Inventory – New
Homes

Months of
Supply – New
Homes

Midwest

$343,160

4%

8.3%

10.6

Northeast

$479,950

6.8%

-1.9%

11.7

South

$291,000

0.3%

-1.2%

8.1

West

$435,120

1.4%

0.7%

6.9

National

$339,000

1.2%

0.2%

8.3

To read the full report, complete with methodology and additional charts, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/blog/2019/02/new-home-sales-decline-january.html.